Sunday, January 11, 2009

Santa Anita 1/11/09

Race 7: Win on 5 Soda Pop Kid. Exacta Box 3 Rhetorically, 5 Soda Pop Kid and 6 Sanquine.

Trying to beat a vulnerable favorite in 7 Funny Me and another horse 2 Squallcreek who doesnt seem to have the 2nd gear needed in a turf race. Soda Pop Kid makes sense here and is a solid 7-2 price bet down from 12-1 ML. Rosario goes to 3 Rhetorically instead of 8 El Martillo and he could surprise at 20-1. The 6 looks to be lone speed and should have this race down to a crawl. He is also a lightly raced horse with room to improve and could also surprise at a nice 8-1 price.

Race 8: Win on 6 Lady Lumberjack.

The others I like in here are 2 Haka, 4 Dave's Revenge, 7 Will O Way, 9 Toro Bonito. After a quick look at the odds it seems the betting public agrees that those five have a significant advantage over the rest of the field. However, Lady Lumberjack is sitting at a very juciy 4-1 right now. That is a good bet. If you made me play an exacta it would be 2,6,7. My order of finish would be 6, 7, 2, 9, 4. I need 4 Dave's Revenge to prove to me her 89 beyer wasnt just the result of a very good field and therefore time and it is very possible she will prove just that.

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