Friday, January 30, 2009

2 Nice Days

I hope people were playing along because that was a 3000 dollar p6 hit and the day before had profit of around 500.

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Santa Anita 1/30/09

p6 play:

2,5,8 with 2,3,4,6,8,9,10 with 2,8,9 with 6,9 with 1 with 7

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Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Gulfstream 1/29/09

Well I have a play of the day at 10-1 today in the 7th race at Gulfstream Park. It is the 3 Furthest Land. Love this horse.

My plays:

50 win/place on 3
20 dollar ex box 3,6
10 dollar ex box 3,4,6
2 dollar ex 3/1,2,5,9,10
2 dollar ex 1,2,5,9,10/3
15 dollar ex 4,6,7,8/3
5 dollar tri 3/4,6,7,8/4,6,7,8


P4 starting in the 6th: 1,4,7,9 with 3 with 4 with 4,8,11,12. 5 times
Also gonna do a P4 starting in 6th: 4 with 3 with 4 with 4. 25 times
P3 starting in 6th: 1,4,7,9 with 3 with 4. 10 times
P3 starting in 7th: 3 with 4 with 4,8,11,12. 10 times
Daily Double in 7th: 3 with 4. 50 times.

Good Luck!


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Monday, January 26, 2009

Horse to Watch

There is a 3 yr old on the derby trail named Kopitar. If any of you know Kopitar is a great hockey player for the Kings. This is a horse to watch as he had 2 beautiful wins in a row before a troubled 6th in his stakes debut. Keep an eye on him.

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Saturday, January 24, 2009

Sunshine Millions has arrived

The Sunshine Millions is made up of four races at Gulfstream Park and four at Santa Anita. Here are Junior's picks:

GP 7: Win on 2. Trifecta key 2 in first, second and third with 1,5,7,9,10,11.
GP 8: Win on 2
GP 9: Win on 6. Trifecta key 6 in first, second and third with 1,2,4,9,11,12
GP 10: Win on 7. Trifecta key 1 with 2,3,6,7,11,12.
SA 6: Win on 8. Exacta box 6,8,10. Trifecta key 8 in all spots with 1,2,4,6,10,13.
SA 7: Exacta box 1,2,7.
SA 8: Win on 7. Trifecta key 3 in all spots with 2,5,6,7,9,11. Exacta box 3,7
SA 9: Exacta box 3,5,7. Tri box 3,5,7,10.

Good Luck to everyone!


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Thursday, January 22, 2009

Friday, Saturday

Saturday is Sunshine Millions Day and finding good value is pretty much guaranteed. Junior and I will be posting not only our individual picks but also how we plan to wager on each of the eight competitive races along with any others we feel have good shots at winning. After we both put in our plays Junior will then post what we decided to play as a team, because that is what ultimately decides your fate at the track. You can pick great horses at great odds but in this game you are only as good as the wager you put in, not because you have great picks. This is the type of Saturday horseplayers look forward to, not only because of the quality and quantity of the fields, but it is on these days a horse you really like can be 5-1 or 6-1 as opposed to 2-1, and that is when you have to attack.

Planning to make a play tomorrow (Friday) on a horse I really like hoping that it will get us some extra ammo for Saturday's blockbuster. It comes in Race 7 at Santa Anita and it is #8 Preemo. He came through for Junior and I on December 13th at Hollywood Park where he scored at about 4-1. His performance that day was even better than it looked because he was right up on the lead getting challenged from his inside and outside, but he put everyone away and strided home impressivly. His trainer gave him a month to get ready for tomorrow's race and with some nice workouts showing and breaking from a cozy outside post which is always an advantage on the downhill turf I am looking for another impressive performance. He is 5-1 on the morning line and if he is anywhere near that a soild win wager will be placed. Also, because I believe there are only two others in here that have a chance against him there should be a strong exacta play as well.

The Play: WIN PLACE on #8 Preemo
Exactas: 8/6,7 then reversed 6,7 with 8

Good luck and back tomorrow with Saturdays plays.








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Wednesday, January 21, 2009

Junior's Top Derby Selections

Future Wagering for the Derby is right around the corner so I thought I'd give you my preliminary choices to win this year.

My top 10 picks in order:
1. Stardom Bound
2. Charitable Man
3. Old Fashioned
4. Midshipman
5. Square Eddie
6. Vineyard Haven
7. The Pamplemousse
8. Majormotionpicture
9. Theregoesjojo
10. Big Drama

In my opinion, theres a drop off after the top 3, then after 6, then after 8.


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Tuesday, January 20, 2009

Sunshine Millions

Just a reminder, don't forget one of the biggest days in racing is coming up. The Sunshine Millions. It's this weekend at Santa Anita and Gulfstream.

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Monday, January 19, 2009

And Now You are Learning Why Slacker is Slacker

Slacking as usual for Slacker. Don't worry, you haven't missed much, he has yet to pick a winner even privately since his last post.

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MLK Day? Or Pay Day?

Santa Anita 1/19/09

There is money to be won today folks. Let me go race by race for you:

Race 1: #6 Figeac. Very confident in this horse although it is a tough race. My second pick is the 3 Trumpet Player Jay and third pick is the 5 His Sisters Mister. You can play the three horse exacta box there with a win on 6.

Race 2: Top pick is #6 Uffizi. Not as confident in this one and the other two are the 1 Kris Silver and the 3 Madcuff. The outisde horse Maroon is also dangerous if your looking for another.

Race 3: Really like #3 Joy Division. Also the 6 Salah Pick Six and the 8 Let'spickupthepace should both be tough.

Race 4: This one's a little more open. You might want to pass it but my top pick is the 8 Magna Cum Laude. The other i like (not in order) are 1 Larrylarrylarry, 7 Trueno, 10 Six Pack Man and 11 Captain Charisma.

Race 5: This race is all about the 5 Hype. If he is near his 2-1 ML its a bet.

Race 6: Hardest race of the day. My top pick is the 2 Masterly. I think the longest shot on the board 9 Gandolf has a big shot in here. The 6 Be Realistic definitley looks tough. The other I like are 3 Scandalous and 4 Midwesterner.

Race 7: Really like a horse coming out of a maiden here and therefore should be a nice price. That is the 5 Point Attended. The others with big shots in here are 2 Ventana and 8 Princeandrew. Look out for 4 Arashi Cat too.

Race 8: Now get this my top pick is.....the 1 Cover Magic at 20-1!!! Really good feeling about this one. Has had some trouble and I like the blinkers off move. Should relax more and be geared up for a big move. The others are 6 Artiste Royal and 10 Spring House. the 3 Marsh Side also has a shot.

Race 9: Top pick is 12 Hurley's Way. There are three others I like and those are (not in order) 5 You Wood, 6 Rise Above and 9 Zephaniah.

Good Luck it is a VERY valuable day so play it!


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Saturday, January 17, 2009

Saturday Tip of the Day

A speed and fade horse who's dropping in class is usually a good play. I've made a lot of money on plays like this.

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Thursday, January 15, 2009

A Lesson to Share with All

In the 8th race today at Fair Grounds the 6 horse went off as the 3-1 second choice. Having not raced in a year and beyers below average for the race I didn't think twice about betting against her. That was where I made a mistake. This horse should become an instant bet as it appears obvious the betting public must know something or the horse wouldnt be the second choice. If you see something like this in the future, its probably a smart play.

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Fair Grounds Race 9 play

So the play of the day today for me is win/place on 8 Terryhowieandjimmy. The exacta box is 4,6,8. The top two are 4,8 so I'm playing that box as well as the 4,6,8. I really like 4,8 here if you haven't noticed. For those big ticket players I would suggest doing 4,8 with 4,6,8 with ALL in a trifecta. Also, check my earlier posts for P4 and P3 plays. That P3 play costs 6 dollars so you could do that 10 times for 60 and it could be a nice little payout. Good luck!

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Wednesday, January 14, 2009

Wednesday Result, introducing Junior

Unfortunately neither of our top picks came in Gulfstream's 5th today, but Junior did have the winner in his top three and I had the the 2nd and 3rd place finishers in there so overall I thought they were decent picks. Junior and I will also put our plays together a lot of the time so you can see them and play them if you'd like. Speaking of Junior it was no surprise at all to see him make an excuse for his top pick not winning. While his claim of a bad start for a speed horse has validity to it you will rarely see him come out and just say "my horse just wasn't good enough and it wasn't a good play." It's ok because he still has a lot of learning to do. Things like "he had a bad trip", "he got a bad ride", "he would have won if...." blah blah blah are things you will see very often from Junior so be ready, but he is getting good at this stuff so I will give him some credit. Don't forget our play for tomorrow at Fair Grounds, hopefully Terryhowieandjimmy will come through.






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Gulfstream Result

Do NOT read on if you dont want to know the result of race 5 at Gulfstream. For those that watched the race my top play 9 Exchanging Kisses was off slow and therefore couldnt get the lead. That cost him the race. Sorry but sometimes when I think I have the best horse and the break costs them the race I have to pout. Beside that though one of my top 3 picks at 21-1 came through for the win. I hope someone had that. I think this is a horse to watch on the turf by the way. Also don't forget Exchanging Kisses next time out.

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Slacker, Oh Slacker

After I saw Slacker's latest post I decided to check out the race for myself. Upon investigation, I came up with my own play. The 9 Exchanging Kisses is the win/place play here. Should have the lead to himself. The horse he beat by over 3 lengths two starts back has comeback to win 2 allowance races in a row both in impressive fashion. Is a mile his distance? I'm not sold, but thats why your getting 4-1 on the ML and its a risk I like taking here. To finish off the exacta there are two horses I also really like in here. The 4 Man Above and the 11 Storming Off. Excuse Man Above's last race and look at his last turf race. Very impressive. Trujillo who was on for that race is back aboard. Once again I have a little issue with the distance but at 12-1 ML he is an exacta gift. Finally, Storming Off has a closing kick I haven't seen from anyone else in this field on a consistent basis. He races his heart out everytime and is always right in there and is a must use in all plays. He did lose to a horse by the name of Key Event on Oct 12 and Slacker and I have a grudge against Key Event as he cost us a 50,000 trifecta by nosing out our horse for third. Yes, the tri paid $50,000 but I digress. If Storming Off goes off anywhere near 6-1 I will be fairly shocked. He and Exchanging Kisses are my top two in here. Good luck!

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Wednesday Play - Gulfstream Race #5

Wednesday's 5th race at Gulfstream is a competitive 35,000 claiming race at one mile on the turf. Top pick here is #3 Glee Club who is 6-1 on the ML. There appears to be enough speed to set up his late kick and with him breaking from the 3 post he should have a ground saving trip. He had a nice last workout and has run well at this track in the past. There are quite a few other prime contenders in here but for the exacta box #11 Storming Off is an ultra consistent performer who can be on or off the pace (6-1 ML) and #5 True Dancer (10-1 ML) is a good fit with this group. The horse I am leaving out is #6 One Eyed Joker who is the ML favorite. I have nothing against senior citizens but I will let this 11 year old beat me today.
The Play:
Win-Place #3 Glee Club
Exacta Box #3,5,11
Good luck.

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Tuesday, January 13, 2009

Thursday Play of Day Junior Style

Let me start off by saying Slacker's handicapping is not very good. In this case however, I must agree Terryhowieandjimmy looks like a real steal. This is a bet you should NOT pass up. Just read Slacker's post for more details as to why. The main horse I'm scared of in this race is the 6 Can't Beat It. This one has a lot of backclass and is coming off a very impressive race. The 6 is definitley my second choice in here and could be an exacta play with terryhowieandjimmy. Others to watch are the 4 Evade and the 7 Fifty Five.

Something I have learned from my racing experience is that when you have a single like Terryhowieandjimmy who you love you should play P3 and P4s around that horse. On my flight today I took some time to study the late P3 and P4. My plays are as follows:

P4: 2,3,5,7,8 with 5 with 8 with 1,7,8,9,10,11
P3: 5 with 8 with 1,7,8,9,10,11

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Thursday Play of the Day

Race 9 at Fair Grounds. #8 terryhowieandjimmy is 8-1 on the ML and anything near that is good enough for a win place bet. There are some nice horses in here with some back class but feel this horse is an up and comer and the fact that he likes the Fair Grounds turf couse only adds to his appeal. He had a nice sprint prep race for this in which three horses coming out of the race came back to run 1-2-3 in their folliwing race so the race looks live and terryhowieandjimmy came with a nice late run to set him up nicely for this. Some exacta or trifecta plays for this race will come later but we definitely have our key horse for exotic plays.

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Monday, January 12, 2009

1/12/09

No tracks we wanna play today so we are taking the day off. We'll be back Wednesday 1/14/09. Thank you for your support in thewinningpicks

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Sunday, January 11, 2009

Santa Anita 1/11/09

Race 7: Win on 5 Soda Pop Kid. Exacta Box 3 Rhetorically, 5 Soda Pop Kid and 6 Sanquine.

Trying to beat a vulnerable favorite in 7 Funny Me and another horse 2 Squallcreek who doesnt seem to have the 2nd gear needed in a turf race. Soda Pop Kid makes sense here and is a solid 7-2 price bet down from 12-1 ML. Rosario goes to 3 Rhetorically instead of 8 El Martillo and he could surprise at 20-1. The 6 looks to be lone speed and should have this race down to a crawl. He is also a lightly raced horse with room to improve and could also surprise at a nice 8-1 price.

Race 8: Win on 6 Lady Lumberjack.

The others I like in here are 2 Haka, 4 Dave's Revenge, 7 Will O Way, 9 Toro Bonito. After a quick look at the odds it seems the betting public agrees that those five have a significant advantage over the rest of the field. However, Lady Lumberjack is sitting at a very juciy 4-1 right now. That is a good bet. If you made me play an exacta it would be 2,6,7. My order of finish would be 6, 7, 2, 9, 4. I need 4 Dave's Revenge to prove to me her 89 beyer wasnt just the result of a very good field and therefore time and it is very possible she will prove just that.

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