Monday, September 21, 2009

Leg 2

I may be a Bruce Levine hater but I'm against both his short priced horses in the first two races. Give me the outside three in the 2nd. I'm gonna go with the 2,7,8. Let me explain:

3- Not the same horse he once was. Not good enough anymore unless he magically reverses form. No reason to expect that.
4- Never turf, long layoff, in for a tag for first time. 3 strikes, your out.
1- The class of the field. On the way down in his career. He may have a few more decent efforts in him but I don't think hes worth 2-1 in any way.
5- Would take a perfect storm for this 50-1 shot to pull this off. There are some signs- new trainer, last race was a step in right direction, stepping up in class. God bless him if he wins but I'll let that perfect storm happen.
6- Out of the same race as the 7 and 9 and was simply much worse. The race before doesnt offer any potential either. Another one that would have to rekindle some old magic to win.
7- My price play in the race. Takes a slight drop which may be exactly what the doctor ordered. Has raced against some better than looks fields (Elusive Fox, Pennington, Wishful Tomcat) and I dont think he wants any part of sprinting so feel free to throw out the two on the page. Now look closely and you can see some sneaky turf form. Getting Garcia doesnt hurt. At 10-1 he is p3 material.
2- May have ran better than the 8-5 favorite last time as he came from farther back in a very slow pace. Lezcano probably had the choice of either the 2 or 8 in their LAST race and went with the 8 but Castellano may be the man for the job. Theres nothing that makes you jump out of your seat in regards to his first two turf races on the page or his turf record for that matter but the recent trainer switch may have triggered a light in this 7 year old gelding and in trying to beat the 8-5 favorite I will make him my top choice
8- Tough. He will be tough. Almost always seems to run a nice race on the turf as he has been in the money in 7 of 10 attempts over the grass. Having said that 8-5 seems a little short and while he might win he is not worth 8-5 in win plays.




Going to the track?
Betting at home?
Just wanna make some money?

You can tell us to handicap any race or card just for you! We do the work, YOU make the money! Email us at coryman10@gmail.com or steel6061@aol.com.

No comments:

Post a Comment